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Financial risk assessment methodology for natural hazards

Item

Title (Dublin Core)

en-US Financial risk assessment methodology for natural hazards

Description (Dublin Core)

en-US Engineered facilities are deemed safe if they have little or no probability of incurring damage when subjected to regular actions or natural hazards. Any probability of the performance of any designed system (i.e. capacity) not being able to meet the performance required of it (i.e. demand) results in risk, which might be expressed either as a likelihood of damage or potential financial loss. Engineers are used to dealing with the former (i.e. damage), which gives a fair indication of repair/strengthening work needed to bring the system back to full functionality. Nevertheless, other non-technical stakeholders (such as owners, insurers, decision-makers) of the designed facilities cannot read too much from damage. Hence, risk, if interpreted in terms of damage only, will not be comprehended by all stakeholders. On the other hand, financial risk expressed in terms of probable dollar loss in easily understood by all. Therefore, there is an impetus on developing methodologies which correlate the system capacity and demand to financial risk. This paper builds on the existing probabilistic risk assessment methodology and extends it to estimate expected annual financial loss. The general methodology formulated in this paper is applicable to any engineered facilities and any natural hazard. To clarify the process, the proposed methodology is applied to assess overall financial risk of a highway bridge pier due to seismic hazard.

Creator (Dublin Core)

Dhakal, Rajesh P.
Mander, John B.

Publisher (Dublin Core)

en-US New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering

Date (Dublin Core)

2006-06-30

Type (Dublin Core)

info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
en-US Article

Format (Dublin Core)

application/pdf

Identifier (Dublin Core)

https://bulletin.nzsee.org.nz/index.php/bnzsee/article/view/361
10.5459/bnzsee.39.2.91-105

Source (Dublin Core)

en-US Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering; Vol 39 No 2 (2006); 91-105
2324-1543
1174-9857

Language (Dublin Core)

eng

Relation (Dublin Core)

https://bulletin.nzsee.org.nz/index.php/bnzsee/article/view/361/347

Rights (Dublin Core)

en-US Copyright (c) 2006 Rajesh P. Dhakal, John B. Mander
en-US https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
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