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  • Assessing positive matrix factorization model fit: a new method to estimate uncertainty and bias in factor contributions at the measurement time scale

    A Positive Matrix Factorization receptor model for aerosol pollution source apportionment was fit to a synthetic dataset simulating one year of daily measurements of ambient PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations, comprised of 39 chemical species from nine pollutant sources. A novel method was developed to estimate model fit uncertainty and bias at the daily time scale, as related to factor contributions. A circular block bootstrap is used to create replicate datasets, with the same receptor model then fit to the data. Neural networks are trained to classify factors based upon chemical profiles, as opposed to correlating contribution time series, and this classification is used to align factor orderings across the model results associated with the replicate datasets. Factor contribution uncertainty is assessed from the distribution of results associated with each factor. Comparing modeled factors with input factors used to create the synthetic data assesses bias. The results indicate that variability in factor contribution estimates does not necessarily encompass model error: contribution estimates can have small associated variability across results yet also be very biased. These findings are likely dependent on characteristics of the data.
  • Spatial variation of modelled and measured NO, NO2 and O3 concentrations in the polluted urban landscape – relation to meteorology during the Göte-2005 campaign

    Knowledge about temporal and spatial variations of the O<sub>3</sub> and NO<sub>x</sub> relationship in the urban environment are necessary to assess the exceedance of air quality standards for NO<sub>2</sub>. Both reliable measurements and validated high-resolution air quality models are important to assess the effect of traffic emission on air quality. In this study, measurements of NO, NO<sub>2</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations were performed in Gothenburg, Sweden, during the Göte-2005 campaign in February 2005. The aim was to evaluate the variation of pollutant concentrations in the urban landscape in relation to urban air quality monitoring stations and wind speed. A brief description of the meteorological conditions and the air pollution situation during the Göte-2005 campaign was also given. Furthermore, the Air Pollution Model (TAPM) was used to simulate the NO<sub>x</sub>-regime close to an urban traffic route and the simulations were compared to the measurements. Important conclusions were that the pollutant concentrations varied substantially in the urban landscape and the permanent monitoring stations were not fully representative for the most polluted environments. As expected, wind speed strongly influenced measured pollutant concentrations and gradients. Higher wind speeds dilute NO<sub>2</sub> due to stronger dispersion; while at the same time vertical transport of O<sub>3</sub> is enhanced, which produces NO<sub>2</sub> through oxidation of NO. The oxidation effect was predominant at the more polluted sites, while the dilution effect was more important at the less polluted sites. TAPM reproduced the temporal variability in pollutant concentrations satisfactorily, but was not able to resolve the situation at the most polluted site, due to the local scale site-specific conditions.
  • Influence of semi-volatile species on particle hygroscopic growth

    The hygroscopic properties of aerosol particles are often related to their content of soluble material, on the basis of the Kohler theory. Recent studies, however, seem to indicate that the role of aerosol particle semi-volatile fraction properties has been underestimated. In this study, we use a novel method based on a Tandem Differential Mobility Analyser (TDMA) system combining particle volatilization and humidification conditioning (VH-TDMA) to test the effect of the gentle volatilization of a small fraction of the atmospheric particles on the particle hygroscopic growth in several environments (urban to remote). Results show that the particle hygroscopic properties can either be enhanced or decreased after thermal conditioning of the particle at moderate temperatures (50 to 110&deg;C). The hygroscopic growth factor changes induced by volatilization indicate that some volatile compounds, although present at low concentrations, drastically influence the hygroscopic growth of particles in the way that can not be predicted by the Kohler theory at equilibrium.
  • Meridional transport and deposition of atmospheric 10Be

    <sup>10</sup>Be concentrations measured in ice cores exhibit larger temporal variability than expected based on theoretical production calculations. To investigate whether this is due to atmospheric transport a general circulation model study is performed with the <sup>10</sup>Be production divided into stratospheric, tropospheric tropical, tropospheric subtropical and tropospheric polar sources. A control run with present day <sup>10</sup>Be production rate is compared with a run during a geomagnetic minimum. The present <sup>10</sup>Be production rate is 4–5 times higher at high latitudes than in the tropics whereas during a period of no geomagnetic dipole field it is constant at all latitudes. The <sup>10</sup>Be deposition fluxes, however, show a very similar latitudinal distribution in both the present day and the geomagnetic minimum run indicating that <sup>10</sup>Be is well mixed in the atmosphere before its deposition. This is also confirmed by the fact that the contribution of <sup>10</sup>Be produced in the stratosphere is dominant (55%–70%) and relatively constant at all latitudes. The contribution of stratospheric <sup>10</sup>Be is approximately 70% in Greenland and 60% in Antarctica reflecting the weaker stratosphere-troposphere air exchange in the Southern Hemisphere.
  • Correlation between cloud condensation nuclei concentration and aerosol optical thickness in remote and polluted regions

    A large number of published and unpublished measurements of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations and aerosol optical thickness (AOT) measurements have been analyzed. AOT measurements were obtained mostly from the AERONET network, and selected to be collocated as closely as possible to the CCN investigations. In remote marine regions, CCN<sub>0.4</sub> (CCN at a supersaturation of 0.4%) are around 110 cm<sup>&minus;3</sup> and the mean AOT<sub>500</sub> (AOT at 500 nm) is 0.057. Over remote continental areas, CCN are almost twice as abundant, while the mean AOT<sub>500</sub> is ca. 0.075. (Sites dominated by desert dust plumes were excluded from this analysis.) Some, or maybe even most of this difference must be because even remote continental sites are in closer proximity to pollution sources than remote marine sites. This suggests that the difference between marine and continental levels must have been smaller before the advent of anthropogenic pollution. <br></br> Over polluted marine and continental regions, the CCN concentrations are about one order of magnitude higher than over their remote counterparts, while AOT is about five times higher over polluted than over clean regions. The average CCN concentrations from all studies show a remarkable correlation to the corresponding AOT values, which can be expressed as a power law. This can be very useful for the parameterization of CCN concentrations in modeling studies, as it provides an easily measured proxy for this variable, which is difficult to measure directly. It also implies that, at least at large scales, the radiative and microphysical effects of aerosols on cloud physics are correlated and not free to vary fully independently. While the observed strong empirical correlation is remarkable, it must still be noted that there is about a factor-of-four range of CCN concentrations at a given AOT, and that there remains considerable room for improvement in remote sensing techniques for CCN abundance.
  • The impact of diurnal variability in sea surface temperature on the central Atlantic air-sea CO2 flux

    The effect of diurnal variations in sea surface temperature (SST) on the air-sea flux of CO<sub>2</sub> over the central Atlantic ocean and Mediterranean Sea (60 S–60 N, 60 W–45 E) is evaluated for 2005–2006. We use high spatial resolution hourly satellite ocean skin temperature data to determine the diurnal warming (ΔSST). The CO<sub>2</sub> flux is then computed using three different temperature fields – a foundation temperature (<i>T<sub>f</sub></i>, measured at a depth where there is no diurnal variation), <i>T</i><sub><i>f</i></sub>, plus the hourly ΔSST and <i>T<sub>f</sub></i>, plus the monthly average of the ΔSSTs. This is done in conjunction with a physically-based parameterisation for the gas transfer velocity (NOAA-COARE). The differences between the fluxes evaluated for these three different temperature fields quantify the effects of both diurnal warming and diurnal covariations. We find that including diurnal warming increases the CO<sub>2</sub> flux out of this region of the Atlantic for 2005–2006 from 9.6 Tg C a<sup>&minus;1</sup> to 30.4 Tg C a<sup>&minus;1</sup> (hourly ΔSST) and 31.2 Tg C a<sup>&minus;1</sup> (monthly average of ΔSST measurements). Diurnal warming in this region, therefore, has a large impact on the annual net CO<sub>2</sub> flux but diurnal covariations are negligible. However, in this region of the Atlantic the uptake and outgassing of CO<sub>2</sub> is approximately balanced over the annual cycle, so although we find diurnal warming has a very large effect here, the Atlantic as a whole is a very strong carbon sink (e.g. &minus;920 Tg C a<sup>&minus;1</sup> Takahashi et al., 2002) making this is a small contribution to the Atlantic carbon budget.
  • Ozone Monitoring Instrument spectral UV irradiance products: comparison with ground based measurements at an urban environment

    We have compared spectral ultraviolet overpass irradiances from the Ozone Monitoring Instruments (OMI) against ground-based Brewer measurements at Thessaloniki, Greece from September 2004 to December 2007. It is demonstrated that OMI overestimates UV irradiances by 30%, 17% and 13% for 305 nm, 324 nm, and 380 nm respectively and 20% for erythemally weighted irradiance. The bias between OMI and Brewer increases with increasing aerosol absorption optical thickness. We present methodologies that can be applied for correcting this bias based on experimental results derived from the comparison period and also theoretical approaches using radiative transfer model calculations. All correction approaches minimize the bias and the standard deviation of the ratio OMI versus Brewer ratio. According to the results, the best correction approach suggests that the OMI UV product has to be multiplied by a correction factor C<sub><i>A</i></sub>(&lambda;) of the order of 0.8, 0.88 and 0.9 for 305 nm, 324 nm and 380 nm respectively. Limitations and possibilities for applying such methodologies in a global scale are also discussed.
  • The effect of the solar rotational irradiance variation on the middle and upper atmosphere calculated by a three-dimensional chemistry-climate model

    This paper analyzes the effects of the solar rotational (27-day) irradiance variations on the chemical composition and temperature of the stratosphere, mesosphere and lower thermosphere as simulated by the three-dimensional chemistry-climate model HAMMONIA. Different methods are used to analyze the model results, including high resolution spectral and cross-spectral techniques. To force the simulations, an idealized irradiance variation with a constant period of 27 days (apparent solar rotation period) and with constant amplitude is used. While the calculated thermal and chemical responses are very distinct and permanent in the upper atmosphere, the responses in the stratosphere and mesosphere vary considerably in time despite the constant forcing. The responses produced by the model exhibit a non-linear behavior: in general, the response sensitivities (not amplitudes) decrease with increasing amplitude of the forcing. In the extratropics the responses are, in general, seasonally dependent with frequently stronger sensitivities in winter than in summer. Amplitude and phase lag of the ozone response in the tropical stratosphere and lower mesosphere are in satisfactory agreement with available observations. The agreement between the calculated and observed temperature response is generally worse than in the case of ozone.
  • Eddy covariance fluxes of acyl peroxy nitrates (PAN, PPN and MPAN) above a Ponderosa pine forest

    During the Biosphere Effects on AeRosols and Photochemistry EXperiment 2007 (BEARPEX-2007), we observed eddy covariance (EC) fluxes of speciated acyl peroxy nitrates (APNs), including peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN), peroxypropionyl nitrate (PPN) and peroxymethacryloyl nitrate (MPAN), above a Ponderosa pine forest in the western Sierra Nevada. All APN fluxes are net downward during the day, with a median midday PAN exchange velocity of &minus;0.3 cm s<sup>&minus;1</sup>; nighttime storage-corrected APN EC fluxes are smaller than daytime fluxes but still downward. Analysis with a standard resistance model shows that loss of PAN to the canopy is not controlled by turbulent or molecular diffusion. Stomatal uptake can account for 25 to 50% of the observed downward PAN flux. Vertical gradients in the PAN thermal decomposition (TD) rate explain a similar fraction of the flux, suggesting that a significant portion of the PAN flux into the forest results from chemical processes in the canopy. The remaining "unidentified" portion of the net PAN flux (~15%) is ascribed to deposition or reactive uptake on non-stomatal surfaces (e.g. leaf cuticles or soil). Shifts in temperature, moisture and ecosystem activity during the summer – fall transition alter the relative contribution of stomatal uptake, non-stomatal uptake and thermochemical gradients to the net PAN flux. Daytime PAN and MPAN exchange velocities are a factor of 3 smaller than those of PPN during the first two weeks of the measurement period, consistent with strong intra-canopy chemical production of PAN and MPAN during this period. Depositional loss of APNs can be 3–21% of the gross gas-phase TD loss depending on temperature. As a source of nitrogen to the biosphere, PAN deposition represents approximately 4–19% of that due to dry deposition of nitric acid at this site.
  • Gas phase precursors to anthropogenic secondary organic aerosol: detailed observations of 1,3,5-trimethylbenzene photooxidation

    A series of photooxidation experiments were conducted in an atmospheric simulation chamber in order to investigate the oxidation mechanism and secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation potential of the model anthropogenic gas phase precursor, 1,3,5-trimethylbenzene. Alongside specific aerosol measurements, comprehensive gas phase measurements, primarily by Chemical Ionisation Reaction Time-of-Flight Mass Spectrometry (CIR-TOF-MS), were carried out to provide detailed insight into the composition and behaviour of the organic components of the gas phase matrix during SOA formation. An array of gas phase organic compounds was measured during the oxidation process, including several previously unmeasured primary bicyclic compounds possessing various functional groups. Analysis of results obtained during this study implies that these peroxide bicyclic species along with a series of ring opening products and organic acids contribute to SOA growth. The effect of varying the VOC/NO<sub>x</sub> ratio on SOA formation was explored, as was the effect of acid seeding. It was found that low NO<sub>x</sub> conditions favour more rapid aerosol formation and a higher aerosol yield, a result that implies a role for organic peroxides in the nucleation process and SOA growth.
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